Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.
Probability Basics
Probability is a measure of the likelihood that an event will occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1. A probability of 0 indicates an impossible event, while a probability of 1 indicates a certain event. In this context, the probability of flooding in a given year is 0.2, meaning there is a 20% chance of flooding.
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Complementary Events
Complementary events are two outcomes of a probability experiment that are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. For instance, if the probability of flooding is 0.2, the probability of no flooding in a given year is the complement, calculated as 1 - 0.2 = 0.8. This concept is crucial for determining the likelihood of multiple consecutive events.
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Independent Events
Independent events are those whose outcomes do not affect each other. In this scenario, the probability of no flooding in one year does not influence the probability in subsequent years. To find the probability of no flooding over multiple years, we multiply the probabilities of no flooding for each individual year, which is essential for solving the given problem.
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