What is the probability that a card player draws two aces from a standard deck of 52 cards if they keep the first card after drawing it?
Table of contents
- 1. Intro to Stats and Collecting Data55m
- 2. Describing Data with Tables and Graphs1h 55m
- 3. Describing Data Numerically1h 45m
- 4. Probability2h 16m
- 5. Binomial Distribution & Discrete Random Variables2h 33m
- 6. Normal Distribution and Continuous Random Variables1h 38m
- 7. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Mean1h 53m
- 8. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Proportion1h 12m
- 9. Hypothesis Testing for One Sample2h 19m
- 10. Hypothesis Testing for Two Samples3h 22m
- 11. Correlation1h 6m
- 12. Regression1h 4m
- 13. Chi-Square Tests & Goodness of Fit1h 20m
- 14. ANOVA1h 0m
4. Probability
Multiplication Rule: Dependent Events
Problem 3.2.23c
Textbook Question
"Using the Multiplication Rule In Exercises 19-32, use the Multiplication Rule.
23. Celebrities as Role Models In a sample of 1103 probable voters, three out of four say they would like entertainers to address social and political issues. Two probable voters are selected at random. (Source: The Hollywood Reporter)
c. Find the probability that at least one of the two probable voters would like entertainers to address social and political issues."

1
Step 1: Understand the problem. We are tasked with finding the probability that at least one of the two probable voters selected at random would like entertainers to address social and political issues. This involves using the complement rule and the multiplication rule.
Step 2: Define the probabilities. From the problem, we know that three out of four voters (or 75%) would like entertainers to address social and political issues. Thus, the probability of a voter liking this is P(A) = 0.75, and the probability of a voter not liking this is P(A') = 1 - 0.75 = 0.25.
Step 3: Use the complement rule. The probability of 'at least one' liking the issue is the complement of the probability that 'none' of the two voters like the issue. Mathematically, P(at least one) = 1 - P(none).
Step 4: Calculate P(none). To find P(none), use the multiplication rule. Since the two voters are selected independently, the probability that both do not like the issue is P(A') * P(A'). Substituting the values, P(none) = 0.25 * 0.25.
Step 5: Substitute into the complement formula. Finally, substitute P(none) into the complement formula: P(at least one) = 1 - P(none). This gives the probability that at least one of the two voters would like entertainers to address social and political issues.

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Key Concepts
Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.
Multiplication Rule
The Multiplication Rule in probability states that the probability of two independent events both occurring is the product of their individual probabilities. This rule is essential for calculating the likelihood of multiple outcomes happening together, especially when events do not influence each other.
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Complementary Events
Complementary events are pairs of outcomes in a probability scenario where one event occurs if and only if the other does not. In this context, finding the probability that at least one of the two voters supports entertainers addressing social issues can be simplified by calculating the probability that neither does and subtracting it from one.
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Complementary Events
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation involves determining the likelihood of an event occurring, expressed as a number between 0 and 1. In this problem, the probability of a voter wanting entertainers to address issues is 0.75, and the probability of not wanting this is 0.25, which are crucial for applying the Multiplication Rule and finding the desired probability.
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