CEO Performance Using the results of Problem 19 from Section 12.3, explain why it does not make sense to construct confidence or prediction intervals based on the least-squares regression equation.
Table of contents
- 1. Intro to Stats and Collecting Data1h 14m
- 2. Describing Data with Tables and Graphs1h 55m
- 3. Describing Data Numerically2h 5m
- 4. Probability2h 16m
- 5. Binomial Distribution & Discrete Random Variables3h 6m
- 6. Normal Distribution and Continuous Random Variables2h 11m
- 7. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Mean3h 23m
- Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean and Central Limit Theorem19m
- Distribution of Sample Mean - Excel23m
- Introduction to Confidence Intervals15m
- Confidence Intervals for Population Mean1h 18m
- Determining the Minimum Sample Size Required12m
- Finding Probabilities and T Critical Values - Excel28m
- Confidence Intervals for Population Means - Excel25m
- 8. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Proportion1h 25m
- 9. Hypothesis Testing for One Sample3h 57m
- 10. Hypothesis Testing for Two Samples4h 50m
- Two Proportions1h 13m
- Two Proportions Hypothesis Test - Excel28m
- Two Means - Unknown, Unequal Variance1h 3m
- Two Means - Unknown Variances Hypothesis Test - Excel12m
- Two Means - Unknown, Equal Variance15m
- Two Means - Unknown, Equal Variances Hypothesis Test - Excel9m
- Two Means - Known Variance12m
- Two Means - Sigma Known Hypothesis Test - Excel21m
- Two Means - Matched Pairs (Dependent Samples)42m
- Matched Pairs Hypothesis Test - Excel12m
- 11. Correlation1h 24m
- 12. Regression1h 50m
- 13. Chi-Square Tests & Goodness of Fit2h 21m
- 14. ANOVA1h 57m
12. Regression
Prediction Intervals
Problem 9.R.23
Textbook Question
"In Exercises 19-24, construct the indicated prediction interval and interpret the results.
23. Construct a 99% prediction interval for the top speed of an electric car in Exercise 17 that takes 5.9 seconds to accelerate from 0 to 60 miles per hour."
Verified step by step guidance1
Identify the regression model from Exercise 17, which relates the acceleration time (independent variable) to the top speed (dependent variable) of the electric car. This model typically has the form: , where is the predicted top speed and is the acceleration time.
Calculate the predicted top speed for the given acceleration time of 5.9 seconds by substituting into the regression equation.
Determine the standard error of the prediction, which accounts for both the variability of the estimate of the mean response and the variability of individual observations. The formula for the standard error of prediction is: , where is the standard error of the estimate, is the sample size, is the given acceleration time (5.9 seconds), and is the mean of the acceleration times in the sample.
Find the critical t-value for a 99% prediction interval with degrees of freedom equal to . This value comes from the t-distribution table and corresponds to the desired confidence level.
Construct the 99% prediction interval using the formula: . This interval estimates the range in which the top speed of a new electric car with an acceleration time of 5.9 seconds is expected to fall with 99% confidence.
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Key Concepts
Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.
Prediction Interval
A prediction interval estimates the range within which a single new observation is expected to fall, with a specified level of confidence. Unlike confidence intervals for mean values, prediction intervals account for both the uncertainty in estimating the mean and the variability of individual data points.
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Confidence Level
The confidence level, such as 99%, indicates the probability that the prediction interval contains the true value of a future observation. A higher confidence level results in a wider interval, reflecting greater certainty that the interval captures the predicted value.
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Regression and Prediction Using Independent Variables
Prediction intervals often rely on regression models that relate an independent variable (e.g., acceleration time) to a dependent variable (e.g., top speed). Understanding how to use the regression equation to predict values and calculate intervals is essential for interpreting the results.
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