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Ch. 4 - Probability
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 4, Problem 4.4.35a

Design Your Own Lottery You have been given the task of creating a new lottery. For each \$1 ticket, the player will select 6 different numbers from 1 to 25 (without replacement), and the only prize will be the jackpot won by players who select the six numbers (in any order) that are later drawn.


a. What is the probability of winning with one ticket?

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Step 1: Understand the problem. The player selects 6 numbers from a set of 25 numbers without replacement. The goal is to calculate the probability of selecting the exact 6 numbers that match the winning numbers, regardless of order.
Step 2: Recall the formula for combinations, which is used to calculate the number of ways to choose r items from a set of n items without regard to order. The formula is: n!r!(n-r)!, where n is the total number of items, r is the number of items chosen, and '!' denotes factorial.
Step 3: Apply the combination formula to calculate the total number of ways to choose 6 numbers from 25. Here, n = 25 and r = 6. Substitute these values into the formula: 25!6!(25-6)!.
Step 4: Simplify the factorials in the formula. Specifically, calculate 252061, which represents the number of combinations.
Step 5: The probability of winning with one ticket is the reciprocal of the total number of combinations, since there is only one winning combination. Express this as: 1(25!6!(25-6)!).

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Combinatorics

Combinatorics is a branch of mathematics dealing with combinations and permutations of objects. In the context of the lottery, it helps determine how many different ways players can choose 6 numbers from a set of 25. The formula for combinations, denoted as C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n-k)!), is essential for calculating the total possible combinations of numbers.

Probability

Probability is a measure of the likelihood that a particular event will occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1. In this lottery scenario, the probability of winning with one ticket is calculated by dividing the number of successful outcomes (selecting the correct 6 numbers) by the total number of possible outcomes (all combinations of 6 numbers from 25).
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Independent Events

Independent events are outcomes that do not affect each other. In the context of the lottery, the selection of numbers is independent because the choice of one number does not influence the selection of another. Understanding this concept is crucial when calculating probabilities, as it allows for the straightforward application of combinatorial principles without concern for dependencies between selections.
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Related Practice
Textbook Question

Corporate Officers and Committees The Self Driving Unicycle Company was recently successfully funded via Kickstarter and must now appoint a president, chief executive officer (CEO), chief operating officer (COO), and chief financial officer (CFO), and chief human resources officer (CHR). It must also appoint a strategic planning committee with five different members. There are 15 qualified candidates, and officers can also serve on the committee.


a. How many different ways can the five officers be appointed?

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Textbook Question

Surge Protectors Refer to the accompanying figure showing surge protectors p and q used to protect an expensive television. If there is a surge in the voltage, the surge protector reduces it to a safe level. Assume that each surge protector has a 0.985 probability of working correctly when a voltage surge occurs.


a. If the two surge protectors are arranged in series, what is the probability that a voltage surge will not damage the television? (Do not round the answer.)

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Textbook Question

Denomination Effect

In Exercises 13–16, use the data in the following table. In an experiment to study the effects of using four quarters versus a \$1 bill, some college students were given four quarters and others were given a \(1 bill, and they could either keep the money or spend it on gum. The results are summarized in the table (based on data from “The Denomination Effect,” by Priya Raghubir and Joydeep Srivastava, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 36).



Denomination Effect


a. Find the probability of randomly selecting a student who spent the money, given that the student was given a \)1 bill.


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Textbook Question

In Exercises 9–20, use the data in the following table, which lists survey results from high school drivers at least 16 years of age (based on data from “Texting While Driving and Other Risky Motor Vehicle Behaviors Among U.S. High School Students,” by O’Malley, Shults, and Eaton, Pediatrics, Vol. 131, No. 6). Assume that subjects are randomly selected from those included in the table. Hint: Be very careful to read the question correctly.

Texting While Driving If two of the high school drivers are randomly selected, find the probability that they both texted while driving.

a. Assume that the selections are made with replacement. Are the events independent?

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Textbook Question

Mega Millions As of this writing, the Mega Millions lottery is run in 44 states. Winning the jackpot requires that you select the correct five different numbers from 1 to 70 and, in a separate drawing, you must also select the correct single number from 1 to 25.


a. Find the probability of winning the jackpot.

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 21-28, find the probability and answer the questions.


X-Linked Genetic Disease Men have XY (or YX) chromosomes and women have XX chromosomes. X-linked recessive genetic diseases (such as juvenile retinoschisis) occur when there is a defective X chromosome that occurs without a paired X chromosome that is not defective. In the following, represent a defective X chromosome with lowercase x, so a child with the xY or Yx pair of chromosomes will have the disease and a child with XX or XY or YX or xX or Xx will not have the disease. Each parent contributes one of the chromosomes to the child.


a. If a father has the defective x chromosome and the mother has good XX chromosomes, what is the probability that a son will inherit the disease?

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