BackFinancial Accounting: Ratio Analysis, Financial Planning, and the Percent of Sales Method
Study Guide - Smart Notes
Tailored notes based on your materials, expanded with key definitions, examples, and context.
Recap of Lecture 1
Basic Types of Firms
In financial accounting, understanding the different types of business organizations is fundamental. Each type has distinct characteristics, advantages, and disadvantages.
Sole Proprietorship: A business owned and operated by one individual. The owner has unlimited liability.
Partnership: A business owned by two or more individuals who share profits, losses, and liability.
Corporation: A legal entity separate from its owners, offering limited liability to shareholders but subject to more regulations.
Financial Ratios
Financial ratios are quantitative tools used to evaluate a firm's financial performance and position. They are grouped into several categories:
Liquidity Ratios: Measure a firm's ability to meet short-term obligations (e.g., Current Ratio, Quick Ratio).
Leverage Ratios: Assess the degree of financial risk and capital structure (e.g., Debt-to-Equity Ratio).
Asset Efficiency Ratios: Indicate how efficiently a firm uses its assets (e.g., Asset Turnover Ratio).
Profitability Ratios: Evaluate a firm's ability to generate profit (e.g., Net Profit Margin, Return on Assets).
Valuation Ratios: Used to assess the value of a firm relative to certain financial metrics (e.g., Price/Earnings Ratio).
DuPont Identity
The DuPont Identity breaks down Return on Equity (ROE) into three components, providing insight into the sources of a firm's profitability:
Formula:
Profit Margin:
Asset Turnover:
Equity Multiplier:
Example: To calculate ROE for a company, multiply its profit margin, asset turnover, and equity multiplier.
Limitations of Ratio Analysis
While ratio analysis is a powerful tool, it has several limitations:
Lack of Theory: No universal theory dictates which ratios are most relevant for all firms.
Benchmarking Difficulties: Finding appropriate benchmarks is challenging, especially for diversified or unique firms.
Comparability Issues: Differences in accounting regulations, procedures (e.g., FIFO vs. LIFO), and fiscal years can hinder meaningful comparisons across firms and countries.
Chapter 18: Financial Planning
What Is Financial Planning?
Financial planning involves forecasting a firm's future financial needs and determining how to meet them. It is essential for setting goals, allocating resources, and ensuring long-term viability.
Components of the Plan
Inputs: Current financial statements and forecasts of key variables (e.g., sales growth, interest rates).
Model: The percent of sales method and its modifications are commonly used for forecasting.
Outputs: Pro-forma financial statements, projected cash flow statements, key financial ratios, and asset/financial requirements.
Financial Planning Decisions
Investment in New Assets: Capital budgeting decisions.
Degree of Financial Leverage: Capital structure decisions.
Liquidity Requirements: Net working capital decisions.
Cash Paid to Shareholders: Dividend policy decisions.
Planning Horizon and Aggregation
Planning Horizon: Divide decisions into short-run (usually next 12 months) and long-run (2–5 years) periods.
Aggregation: Combine individual capital budgeting decisions into one large project for planning purposes.
Assumptions and Scenarios
Make realistic assumptions about key variables.
Run multiple scenarios (worst case, normal case, best case) to assess the impact of different assumptions.
Percent of Sales Method
Definition and Assumptions
The percent of sales method is a forecasting approach that assumes most balance sheet and income statement items grow proportionally with sales.
Assumption 1: Percent of sales for each item remains constant in future periods.
Assumption 2: Forecasts are made as a percent of the expected sales figure for the period.
Application: Example 1 (Gourmet Coffee Inc.)
Historical Financial Statements (2023):
Balance Sheet | Income Statement | ||
|---|---|---|---|
Assets | 1000 | Revenues | 1000 |
Debt | 400 | Costs | 400 |
Equity | 600 | Net Income | 600 |
Total | 1000 | Total | 1000 |
Pro Forma Income Statement (2024): If revenues grow by 15%, all other items tied directly to sales also grow by 15%.
Managerial Decisions in Pro Forma Statements
Case 1: No dividends paid, no external equity financing, debt is the plug variable.
Case 2: Debt and equity each increase by 15%, dividends are the plug variable.
Key Question: What is the projected Debt/Equity ratio at the end of 2024 for each case?
Items That Vary with Sales
Income Statement: Costs may vary directly with sales, keeping profit margin constant. Interest expense and dividends usually do not vary directly with sales.
Balance Sheet: All assets and accounts payable typically vary with sales. Notes payable, long-term debt, and equity generally do not, as they depend on management decisions.
Percent of Sales Method: Example 2 (Tasha's Toy Emporium)
Pro Forma Income Statement (2024)
2023 | % of Sales | 2024 (Pro Forma) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sales | 5,000 | 100% | 5,500 |
Costs | 3,000 | 60% | 3,300 |
Taxes | 800 | 16% | 880 |
Net Income | 1,200 | 24% | 1,320 |
Dividends | 600 | 12% | 660 |
Addition to RE | 600 | 12% | 660 |
Assumptions: Sales grow at 10%, dividend payout rate is 50%.
Pro Forma Balance Sheet (2024)
Assets | 2023 | % of Sales | 2024 (Pro Forma) | Liabilities & Equity | 2023 | % of Sales | 2024 (Pro Forma) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current Assets | 500 | 10% | 550 | AP | 900 | 18% | 990 |
Inventory | 2,000 | 40% | 2,200 | NP | 2,500 | n/a | 2,500 |
Fixed Assets | 3,000 | 60% | 3,300 | LT Debt | 2,000 | n/a | 2,000 |
Total Assets | 5,500 | 110% | 6,050 | Common Shares | 2,000 | n/a | 2,000 |
Retained Earnings | 2,100 | n/a | 2,760 | ||||
Total L&OE | 9,500 | 10,450 |
Note: The firm needs to raise an additional $200 in debt or equity to balance the sheet ($10,450 - $10,250 = $200).
Net New Financing (NNF)
Net new financing is the additional external funds required to finance the increase in net assets.
Formula 1:
Formula 2:
Example: If sales grow by 10%, NNF = $200.
External Financing and Growth
Internal Growth Rate
The internal growth rate is the maximum rate at which a firm can grow without external financing (NNF = 0).
Formula:
Sustainable Growth Rate
The sustainable growth rate is the maximum rate at which a firm can grow without issuing new equity, while maintaining its current debt/equity ratio.
Formula:
Comparison Table: Internal vs. Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate | Sustainable Growth Rate |
|---|---|
Maximum growth rate with no external financing | Maximum growth rate with no new equity and constant D/E ratio |
Assumes payout ratio and asset structure remain constant | Assumes payout ratio and leverage remain constant |
To grow faster: reduce payout or raise external capital | To grow faster: reduce payout, raise new equity, or increase leverage |
Determinants of Sustainable Growth Rate
Profit Margin: Operating efficiency
Total Asset Turnover: Asset use efficiency
Financial Policy: Choice of optimal debt/equity ratio
Dividend Policy: Choice of payout versus reinvestment
Growth and Firm Value
Internal and sustainable growth rates are useful for planning, but they do not indicate whether growth increases firm value. Growth above the sustainable rate is not inherently negative if it is value-increasing, but it will require additional capital.
Additional info: The notes above are expanded with academic context and examples for clarity and completeness, based on standard financial accounting curriculum.