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Testing Claims about a Mean (Population Mean, $oldsymbol{ ext{μ}}$ Unknown)

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Testing Claims about a Mean (μ is Unknown)

Introduction

In inferential statistics, we often wish to test claims about a population mean. When the population standard deviation () is unknown, we use the t-distribution to conduct hypothesis tests. This section outlines the requirements, methods, and examples for testing claims about a mean when is unknown.

Requirements

  • Simple Random Samples: The sample data must be collected using a simple random sampling method.

  • Population Distribution: Either the population is normally distributed, or the sample size is sufficiently large ().

Notation

  • : Sample standard deviation

  • : Sample size

  • : Sample mean

  • : Population mean

  • : Null hypothesis

  • : Alternative hypothesis

Test Statistic

When is unknown, the test statistic for the mean is:

This statistic follows a t-distribution with degrees of freedom.

Properties of the t-Distribution

  • The t-distribution varies based on sample size (degrees of freedom).

  • It has the same general bell shape as the normal distribution.

  • The mean of the t-distribution is 0.

  • As sample size increases, the t-distribution approaches the normal distribution.

P-value Method

The p-value method is commonly used to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. The p-value is the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as, or more extreme than, the value observed under the null hypothesis.

Example 1

  • Scenario: Testing if the population mean of student course evaluations is equal to 4.00.

  • Sample Data: , ,

  • Hypotheses:

  • Test Statistic:

  • P-value:

  • Conclusion: Since , we fail to reject . There is not sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the population mean is 4.00.

Example 2

  • Scenario: Measure your pulse rate in a one-minute span. Assume pulse rates are normally distributed.

  • Task: Conduct a t-test to determine if your professor's resting pulse rate is different from the class mean, using a significance level of 0.05.

Critical Value Method

Alternatively, the critical value method can be used, but it requires calculation of critical t-values, which may not be readily available on calculators. This method is less commonly used in practice when p-values are easily accessible.

Confidence Interval Method

Confidence intervals can be used to test claims about a mean. If the claimed mean falls within the confidence interval, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Example 3

  • Scenario: Using the data from Example 1, construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean.

  • Calculation:

  • Conclusion: Since 4.00 is within the interval, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Example 4

  • Scenario: Students estimate the length of one minute without using a clock. Test if the mean is 60 seconds.

  • Sample Data:

    Time (s)

    69

    39

    65

    62

    64

    63

    66

    48

    64

    70

    96

    91

    45

    21

    60

    63

  • Hypotheses:

  • Significance Level:

  • Confidence Interval:

  • Conclusion: Since 60 is within the interval, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. Students are reasonably good at estimating the length of one minute.

Summary Table: Methods for Testing Claims about a Mean

Method

Key Steps

Decision Rule

P-value Method

Calculate t-statistic, find p-value, compare to significance level

Reject if

Critical Value Method

Calculate t-statistic, compare to critical t-value

Reject if

Confidence Interval Method

Construct confidence interval for mean

Reject if claimed mean is outside interval

Additional info:

  • The t-distribution is robust to moderate departures from normality, especially for larger sample sizes ().

  • Always check assumptions before conducting hypothesis tests.

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