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Ch. 6 - Normal Probability Distributions
Triola - Elementary Statistics 14th Edition
Triola14th EditionElementary StatisticsISBN: 9780137366446Not the one you use?Change textbook
Chapter 6, Problem 6.4.9b

Ergonomics. Exercises 9–16 involve applications to ergonomics, as described in the Chapter Problem.


Safe Loading of Elevators The elevator in the car rental building at San Francisco International Airport has a placard stating that the maximum capacity is “4000 lb—27 passengers.” Because 4000/27=148, this converts to a mean passenger weight of 148 lb when the elevator is full. We will assume a worst-case scenario in which the elevator is filled with 27 adult males. Based on Data Set 1 “Body Data” in Appendix B, assume that adult males have weights that are normally distributed with a mean of 189 lb and a standard deviation of 39 lb.


b. Find the probability that a sample of 27 randomly selected adult males has a mean weight greater than 148 lb.

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Step 1: Understand the problem. We are tasked with finding the probability that the mean weight of a sample of 27 adult males exceeds 148 lb, given that the weights of adult males are normally distributed with a mean (μ) of 189 lb and a standard deviation (σ) of 39 lb.
Step 2: Calculate the standard error of the mean (SEM). The SEM is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean and is calculated using the formula: SEM=σn, where σ is the population standard deviation and n is the sample size.
Step 3: Standardize the sample mean using the z-score formula. The z-score is calculated as: z=X-μSEM, where X is the sample mean (148 lb), μ is the population mean (189 lb), and SEM is the standard error of the mean calculated in Step 2.
Step 4: Use the z-score obtained in Step 3 to find the corresponding probability. This can be done by looking up the z-score in a standard normal distribution table or using statistical software to find the cumulative probability.
Step 5: Subtract the cumulative probability from 1 to find the probability that the sample mean weight is greater than 148 lb. This is because we are interested in the area to the right of the z-score in the standard normal distribution.

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Key Concepts

Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.

Normal Distribution

Normal distribution is a probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean. In this context, the weights of adult males are assumed to follow a normal distribution with a specified mean and standard deviation, which allows for the application of statistical methods to determine probabilities related to sample means.
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Finding Standard Normal Probabilities using z-Table

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem states that the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be normally distributed, regardless of the shape of the population distribution, provided the sample size is sufficiently large (typically n > 30). In this scenario, with a sample size of 27, the theorem suggests that the distribution of the sample mean can still be approximated as normal, which is crucial for calculating the probability of the sample mean weight exceeding 148 lb.
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Calculating the Mean

Z-Score

A Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values, expressed in terms of standard deviations. It is calculated by subtracting the mean from the value and dividing by the standard deviation. In this problem, calculating the Z-score for the sample mean weight of 148 lb will help determine the probability of selecting a sample of 27 adult males with a mean weight greater than this threshold.
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Z-Scores From Given Probability - TI-84 (CE) Calculator
Related Practice
Textbook Question

Ergonomics. Exercises 9–16 involve applications to ergonomics, as described in the Chapter Problem.


Water Taxi Safety Passengers died when a water taxi sank in Baltimore’s Inner Harbor. Men are typically heavier than women and children, so when loading a water taxi, assume a worst-case scenario in which all passengers are men. Assume that weights of men are normally distributed with a mean of 189 lb and a standard deviation of 39 lb (based on Data Set 1 “Body Data” in Appendix B). The water taxi that sank had a stated capacity of 25 passengers, and the boat was rated for a load limit of 3500 lb.


b. If the water taxi is filled with 25 randomly selected men, what is the probability that their mean weight exceeds the value from part (a)?

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Textbook Question

In Exercises 7–10, use the same population of {4, 5, 9} that was used in Examples 2 and 5. As in Examples 2 and 5, assume that samples of size n = 2 are randomly selected with replacement.


Sampling Distribution of the Sample Proportion


a. For the population, find the proportion of odd numbers.

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Textbook Question

MCAT The Medical College Admissions Test (MCAT) is used to help screen applicants to medical schools. Like many such tests, the MCAT uses multiple-choice questions with each question having five choices, one of which is correct. Assume that you must make random guesses for two such questions. Assume that both questions have correct answers of “a.”


b. Find the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion.

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Textbook Question

Using the Central Limit Theorem. In Exercises 5–8, assume that the amounts of weight that male college students gain during their freshman year are normally distributed with a mean of 1.2 kg and a standard deviation of 4.9 kg (based on Data Set 13 “Freshman 15” in Appendix B).


b. If 9 male college students are randomly selected, find the probability that their mean weight gain during freshman year is between 0 kg and 3 kg.

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Textbook Question

Using the Central Limit Theorem. In Exercises 5–8, assume that the amounts of weight that male college students gain during their freshman year are normally distributed with a mean of 1.2 kg and a standard deviation of 4.9 kg (based on Data Set 13 “Freshman 15” in Appendix B).


a. If 1 male college student is randomly selected, find the probability that he has no weight gain during his freshman year. (That is, find the probability that during his freshman year, his weight gain is less than or equal to 0 kg.)

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Textbook Question

Cell Phones and Brain Cancer In a study of 420,095 cell phone users in Denmark, it was found that 135 developed cancer of the brain or nervous system. For those not using cell phones, there is a 0.000340 probability of a person developing cancer of the brain or nervous system. We therefore expect about 143 cases of such cancers in a group of 420,095 randomly selected people.

a. Find the probability of 135 or fewer cases of such cancers in a group of 420,095 people.

b. What do these results suggest about media reports that suggest cell phones cause cancer of the brain or nervous system?

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